
Newsday - February 20, 1996
A Closed Primary Hurts the State GOP
NEW YORK is an important Republican state, with the third largest
delegation to the Republican National Convention. But Republican leaders
are afraid to let their own party members have an honest choice in
the March 7 primary. Why don't party leaders trust the same voters
who have given Republicans control over almost all of the state's
62 counties, one of the two U.S. Senate seats, the State Senate, three
of the four statewide offices and the state's largest city? State
Republicans are undermining the party's prospects to carry the Empire
State in November by closing the state presidential primary to most
of the challengers. Unlike primary voters elsewhere. New York Republicans
will not have a chance to vote for thoughtful moderates such as Lamar
Alexander and Richard Lugar or genuine conservatives such as Alan
Keyes. Under New York's anticompetitive election laws, the state motto
effectively reads "DO NOT ENTER."
As a result, only multimillionaire Steve Forbes has so far overcome
the costly legal hurdles that have kept all the others (except for
Patrick Buchanan, entered in 17 of the state's 31 congressional districts)
off the New York primary ballot.
Sen. Alfonse D'Amato, the architect of this policy is a longtime
Dole cheerleader. But, by favoring Dole so much, he runs the risk
of weakening Dole and the Republican voters in New York. What if Lamar
Alexander, invigorated from a strong third-place finish in Iowa, somehow
wins the Republican nomination and the White House? The former Tennessee
governor, a graduate of NYU Law School, will certainly not forget
the heavy-handed New Yorkers who prevented him from running in the
state's presidential primary.
Furthermore, by delivering the state's convention delegates to Dole
in March, D'Amato undermines the chance that Dole will win presidential
electors in November. The state Republican apparatuses do not appreciate
that a presidential primary is much more than a contest for convention
delegates; it's an opportunity for a political party to attract new
volunteer workers and to broaden its contributor base. A plethora
of presidential candidates just by nominating competitive local delegate
slates expands the party's grass-roots base and engages more households
in the political process.
Simply put, a presidential primary is a politcal party's version
of "spring training," a chance to get in shape, test your
bullpen pitching and strengthen the weak spots in the lineup.
There is no better endurance test for a presidential candidate than
a New York primary dominated by unruly groups cf every ethnic background.
Moreover, recent demographic and economic changes have transformed
New York into a microcosm of the nation's political culture. Buffalo
and western New York resemble the industrial Midwest with its resurgent
economy. The north country is as hostile to government as the Rocky
Mountain states, while the Adirondacks are stunning although less
chic, than the Grand Tetons.
And the corporate office parks and shopping malls of Westchester
County and the mid-Hudson Valley look like the "edge cities"
found in northern Virginia. Even suburban Long Island with its shrinking
defense contractors, array of small high-tech businesses and automobile
culture has more in common with Orange County, Calif., than with neighboring
New York City. In fact, the Big Apple, despite its size and high-profile
politicians, makes up less than one-third of the total state vote.
After 20 years of control over New York City and Albany, the Democratic
Party in New York State is in a shambles. There is no party organization,
just a bunch of political barons with separate financial and power
bases. But the Republicans are so politically blinded that they won't
even allow a fair fight within their own party primary.
The moderates who once dominated New York's Republican Party such
as Dole delegate, former Nelson Rockefeller adviser and New York City
Deputy Mayor Robert Price are a diminishing species. Price and other
Republicans believe Dole would win in an open presidential primary.
The new crop of Republicans includes self-made entrepreneurs and political
junkies, not the Locust Valley blue-bloods who inherited the family
wealth without the work ethic.
Michael Dukakis beat George Bush in the New York general election
in 1988, and Clinton trounced him in 1992. But 1996 promises to be
a far different race. New York Republicans do not serve their party
or Dole's interests by letting him take the New York primary without
a real fight. By avoiding a good workout in the spring, the Republicans
will lack the muscle and the edge to win in November.